Reims 0-1 Lille — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 2 Mar 2024

Reims
0-1 HT 0-0
Lille
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 31% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.07
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
9%
6.05
X/2
13%
5.27
X/X
9%
4.66
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
20%
3.36
2/X
9%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.2pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reims EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.15/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.17
-10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
21.3 Crosses 16.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reims
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lille
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.99 xG 1.46
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
268 Passes 478
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2023 Lille Lille 1-2 HT 0-2 Reims Reims FR1
06.05.2023 Reims Reims 1-0 HT 1-0 Lille Lille FR1
02.01.2023 Lille Lille 1-1 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR1
20.04.2022 Reims Reims 2-1 HT 1-0 Lille Lille FR1
22.09.2021 Lille Lille 2-1 HT 2-0 Reims Reims FR1
17.01.2021 Lille Lille 2-1 HT 0-1 Reims Reims FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reims
0-1
AWAY Lille
0.62 xG 1.13
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
384 Passes 273
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reims vs Lille
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille nicked a narrow win over Reims 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Lille made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Reims had 57% of the ball to Lille's 43%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.62 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reims had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Reims and 1.17 for Lille.

What was the final score of Reims vs Lille?

Reims 0-1 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reims vs Lille?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Reims 35%, draw 26%, Lille 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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