Chateauroux 2-1 Orleans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.43
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.92
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.95
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
11%
6.2
X/2
16%
4.67
X/X
15%
3.78
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.32
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.3pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Orleans EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
1.52/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.95
+32% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Orleans
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2023 Orleans Orleans 2-2 HT 2-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
24.02.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 0-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
16.09.2022 Orleans Orleans 1-1 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
15.04.2022 Orleans Orleans 1-2 HT 1-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
19.11.2021 Chateauroux Chateauroux 4-1 HT 0-1 Orleans Orleans FR3
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Orleans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux edged past Orleans 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Orleans at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chateauroux had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chateauroux and 1.20 for Orleans.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Orleans?

Chateauroux 2-1 Orleans in the France - National League 1 on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Orleans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orleans win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 26%, draw 29%, Orleans 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Orleans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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