Villefranche 0-1 Versailles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.6
X/1
10%
4.75
X/2
17%
6.22
X/X
8%
4.33
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
17%
4.65
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+9.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Versailles EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.38/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.07
+6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
331 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Versailles
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2023 Versailles Versailles 0-1 HT 0-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
14.04.2023 Versailles Versailles 1-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
25.11.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 0-2 HT 0-0 Versailles Versailles FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
0-1
AWAY Versailles
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Versailles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Versailles squeezed past Villefranche 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Versailles found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Villefranche had 56% of the ball to Versailles's 44%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Versailles led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Villefranche and 1.00 for Versailles.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Versailles?

Villefranche 0-1 Versailles in the France - National League 1 on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Versailles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Versailles win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 37%, draw 23%, Versailles 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Versailles), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Versailles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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