Montpellier (K) 2-1 Bordeaux (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-14.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+12.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Bordeaux (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -47%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
Crosses 12.1
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier (K)
2-1
AWAY Bordeaux (K)
2.44 xG 0.42
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
483 Passes 217
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Montpellier (K) vs Bordeaux (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier (K) edged past Bordeaux (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Montpellier (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Montpellier (K) had 64% of the ball to Bordeaux (K)'s 36%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.44 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Montpellier (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs Bordeaux (K)?

Montpellier (K) 2-1 Bordeaux (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs Bordeaux (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 55%, draw 21%, Bordeaux (K) 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montpellier (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montpellier (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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