Polokwane City 0-1 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.54
Over 2.5
33%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.16
No
65%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
41%
2.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.17
6+ Goals
5%
31.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.34 — our 41% vs market 36.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+10.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
39%
Away Win
50%
-11.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
61%
+6.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
39%
-6.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.1pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 55%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
0.72/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.82
+3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +33%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
15.2 Crosses 18.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polokwane City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Orlando Pirates
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.04 xG 1.23
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
154 Passes 483
64% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 0
27.10.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-1 HT 1-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
07.01.2020 Polokwane City Polokwane City 1-4 HT 0-4 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
26.11.2019 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-2 HT 1-1 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
28.02.2015 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-1 HT 3-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
05.10.2014 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-1 HT 1-1 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFLK
15.02.2014 Polokwane City Polokwane City 1-0 HT 1-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polokwane City
0-1
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.24 xG 0.82
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 7
150 Passes 299
58% Pass Accuracy 75%
5 Box Touches 17
6 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polokwane City vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates edged past Polokwane City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Orlando Pirates made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Polokwane City had 39% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 61%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.24 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Polokwane City and 2.17 for Orlando Pirates.

What was the final score of Polokwane City vs Orlando Pirates?

Polokwane City 0-1 Orlando Pirates in the South Afrika - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polokwane City vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Polokwane City 33%, draw 28%, Orlando Pirates 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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