Richards Bay 1-2 Royal AM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.33
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal AM EU Bookmakers 28%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.23/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.56
-46% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
27.1 Crosses 14.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richards Bay
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Royal AM
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.45 xG 1.18
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 0
300 Passes 311
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 12
43 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Royal AM Royal AM 3-2 HT 3-2 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
20.05.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 Royal AM Royal AM GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richards Bay
1-2
AWAY Royal AM
1.65 xG 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 0
247 Passes 263
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 16
32 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Richards Bay vs Royal AM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal AM squeezed past Richards Bay 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Richards Bay at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Richards Bay had 50% of the ball to Royal AM's 50%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.65 to 2.00.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Royal AM led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Richards Bay and 1.50 for Royal AM.

What was the final score of Richards Bay vs Royal AM?

Richards Bay 1-2 Royal AM in the South Afrika - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richards Bay vs Royal AM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Richards Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Richards Bay 45%, draw 28%, Royal AM 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Richards Bay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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