Incheon United 0-1 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
14.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.79
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.4
X/1
23%
4.52
X/2
6%
7.1
X/X
8%
4.62
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
25.5
2/2
11%
5.25
2/X
6%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 11% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.11/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.33
+1% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.6 Crosses 12.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Suwon City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 1.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
378 Passes 382
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-2 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
08.07.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 2-2 HT 2-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
22.04.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 2-2 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
03.08.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
06.07.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
05.05.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 2-2 HT 1-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
0-1
AWAY Suwon City
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
502 Passes 328
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City nicked a narrow win over Incheon United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Incheon United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Incheon United had 59% of the ball to Suwon City's 41%, shots finished 11-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Incheon United and 1.50 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Suwon City?

Incheon United 0-1 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 50%, draw 25%, Suwon City 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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