Slaven Belupo 2-3 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 2 Mar 2024

Slaven Belupo
2-3 HT 0-2
Lokomotiva Zagreb
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2023/2024

Slaven Belupo vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.64
6+ Goals
6%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.7pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Slaven Belupo v Lokomotiva Zagreb — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.22/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.08
+8% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
17.3 Crosses 19.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Slaven Belupo vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.86 xG 0.98
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
258 Passes 358
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.01.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb ARK
24.11.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-3 HT 1-2 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
01.09.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
12.05.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
11.03.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
05.11.2022 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR

Slaven Belupo 2-3 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
2-3
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
0.83 xG 1.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
252 Passes 213
69% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Slaven Belupo vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb edged past Slaven Belupo 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Lokomotiva Zagreb found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 54% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 46%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.83 to 1.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Slaven Belupo and 0.50 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Slaven Belupo 2-3 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 36%, draw 26%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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