02/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-0
Bidco United vs Sofapaka Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
30%
Draw
26%
41%
Away Win
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bidco United v Sofapaka — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bidco United
EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sofapaka
EU Bookmakers 57%
+64% /
+64%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+150%
/
-23%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
44%
Ball Possession
56%
9
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
6
277 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
365 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Bidco United vs Sofapaka Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Bidco United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Sofapaka
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
16.01.2022
Bidco United
1-1
HT 1-0
Sofapaka
KEN2
1-1
HT 1-0
Sofapaka
KEN2
POST-MATCH
Bidco United vs Sofapaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bidco United and Sofapaka shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Sofapaka at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.
What was the final score of Bidco United vs Sofapaka?
Bidco United 1-1 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bidco United vs Sofapaka?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sofapaka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bidco United 29%, draw 30%, Sofapaka 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sofapaka), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Sofapaka)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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2 Mar 2024