Gor Mahia 4-0 Posta Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
12%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Posta Rangers EU Bookmakers 29%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.16
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +136% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gor Mahia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Posta Rangers
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
06.02.2022 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 3-1 HT 1-0 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gor Mahia
4-0
AWAY Posta Rangers
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Gor Mahia vs Posta Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia swept aside Posta Rangers 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gor Mahia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gor Mahia had 50% of the ball to Posta Rangers's 50%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Posta Rangers?

Gor Mahia 4-0 Posta Rangers in the Kenya - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Posta Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 42%, draw 26%, Posta Rangers 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gor Mahia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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