Kisvarda 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 27% vs market 23.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.27/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.38
-3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
23.1 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kisvarda
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 Passes 292
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-1 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
30.07.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-2 HT 0-2 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
09.04.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-0 HT 0-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
08.11.2022 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-3 HT 0-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
21.08.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-3 HT 1-1 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
15.05.2022 Kisvarda Kisvarda 2-1 HT 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kisvarda
1-0
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
0.55 xG 0.69
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
429 Passes 324
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Kisvarda vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kisvarda squeezed past Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Kisvarda made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kisvarda had 55% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 45%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.55 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kisvarda had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kisvarda and 1.00 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of Kisvarda vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Kisvarda 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kisvarda vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kisvarda win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kisvarda 37%, draw 30%, Zalaegerszegi TE 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kisvarda), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kisvarda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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