Diosgyor 1-1 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
33%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.55/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.34
-6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 82%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
20.9 Crosses 22.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Puskas FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.47 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
456 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
29.07.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
21.04.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
03.02.2021 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
25.10.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 3-0 HT 3-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
17.06.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-2 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
1-1
AWAY Puskas FC
1.58 xG 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
336 Passes 317
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor and Puskas FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Diosgyor had 51% of the ball to Puskas FC's 49%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.58 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Diosgyor and 1.00 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Puskas FC?

Diosgyor 1-1 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diosgyor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 38%, draw 24%, Puskas FC 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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