Aumund-Vegesack 5-1 Vahr-Blockdiek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
35%
+8.0pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.7pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aumund-Vegesack EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Vahr-Blockdiek EU Bookmakers 36%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-12% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Aumund-Vegesack vs Vahr-Blockdiek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aumund-Vegesack ran out comfortable winners over Vahr-Blockdiek 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aumund-Vegesack as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Aumund-Vegesack vs Vahr-Blockdiek?

Aumund-Vegesack 5-1 Vahr-Blockdiek in the Germany - Oberliga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aumund-Vegesack vs Vahr-Blockdiek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aumund-Vegesack win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aumund-Vegesack 43%, draw 29%, Vahr-Blockdiek 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aumund-Vegesack), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aumund-Vegesack) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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