TVD Velbert 1-2 Uerdingen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No Pick
55%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TVD Velbert The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Uerdingen The Market 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TVD Velbert
1-2
AWAY Uerdingen
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
POST-MATCH TVD Velbert vs Uerdingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uerdingen squeezed past TVD Velbert 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was TVD Velbert at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, TVD Velbert had 52% of the ball to Uerdingen's 48%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of TVD Velbert vs Uerdingen?

TVD Velbert 1-2 Uerdingen in the Germany - Oberliga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TVD Velbert vs Uerdingen?

Before kick-off our model rated a TVD Velbert win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split TVD Velbert 42%, draw 25%, Uerdingen 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (TVD Velbert) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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