Comerciantes Unidos 0-0 Melgar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
45%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-10.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.3pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Melgar EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +34%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
Crosses 20.9
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Melgar
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.53 xG 2.07
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
224 Passes 387
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2018 Melgar Melgar 2-1 HT 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
05.08.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-2 HT 0-1 Melgar Melgar PER
20.11.2017 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 HT 1-1 Melgar Melgar PER
26.07.2017 Melgar Melgar 1-1 HT 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
0-0
AWAY Melgar
0.46 xG 1.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
198 Passes 276
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Comerciantes Unidos and Melgar fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Melgar at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 44% of the ball to Melgar's 56%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.46 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.50 for Melgar.

What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar?

Comerciantes Unidos 0-0 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 26%, draw 29%, Melgar 44%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Melgar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melgar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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