Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Cristal v Atletico Grau — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
2-1
HT 1-1
Atletico Grau
PER
1-2
HT 0-1
Atletico Grau
PER
0-2
HT 0-1
Sporting Cristal
PER
1-4
HT 0-2
Sporting Cristal
PER
1-2
HT 1-1
Atletico Grau
PER
Sporting Cristal 1-0 Atletico Grau — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Cristal edged past Atletico Grau 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sporting Cristal had 58% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 42%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.59 to 0.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.33 for Atletico Grau.
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau?
Sporting Cristal 1-0 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 60%, draw 21%, Atletico Grau 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.