Katowice 3-1 Znicz Pruszkow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒14:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.19
6+ Goals
10%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katowice EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.10/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.99
-27% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +45%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katowice
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.08.2023 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 0-2 HT 0-1 Katowice Katowice POL1
08.04.2021 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 1-0 HT 1-0 Katowice Katowice POL2
03.10.2020 Katowice Katowice 1-1 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL2
17.11.2019 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 2-1 HT 0-0 Katowice Katowice POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katowice
3-1
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Katowice vs Znicz Pruszkow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice got the better of Znicz Pruszkow 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Katowice as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Katowice had 50% of the ball to Znicz Pruszkow's 50%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Znicz Pruszkow led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Katowice and 1.00 for Znicz Pruszkow.

What was the final score of Katowice vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Katowice 3-1 Znicz Pruszkow in the Poland - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katowice vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katowice win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Katowice 42%, draw 30%, Znicz Pruszkow 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katowice) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katowice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
2 Mar 2024
17:00 Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock Analysis →
19:30 Odra Opole vs Wisla Krakow Analysis →