Nieciecza 2-2 Wisla Plock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.03
6+ Goals
10%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.60/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.20
+8% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
322 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Wisla Plock
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 0.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 Passes 348
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 3-1 HT 0-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
01.05.2022 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
05.11.2021 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-1 HT 1-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
02.03.2018 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-2 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
01.10.2017 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-0 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
11.03.2017 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-0 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
2-2
AWAY Wisla Plock
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza and Wisla Plock couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nieciecza had 51% of the ball to Wisla Plock's 49%, shots finished 17-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wisla Plock led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nieciecza and 1.33 for Wisla Plock.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock?

Nieciecza 2-2 Wisla Plock in the Poland - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 40%, draw 26%, Wisla Plock 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nieciecza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✓ Over 2.5
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