Gil Vicente U19 4-1 Lusitania Lourosa U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Youth U19, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
28%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
35%
4-5
22%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
29%
+13.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
28%
Away Win
43%
-15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U19 The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania Lourosa U19 The Market 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
238 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U19
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Lusitania Lourosa U19
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
20.01.2024 Gil Vicente U19 Gil Vicente U19 6-0 HT 2-0 Lusitania Lourosa U19 POR19
28.10.2023 Lusitania Lourosa U19 1-1 HT 0-1 Gil Vicente U19 Gil Vicente U19 POR19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U19
4-1
AWAY Lusitania Lourosa U19
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U19 vs Lusitania Lourosa U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U19 ran out comfortable winners over Lusitania Lourosa U19 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gil Vicente U19 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gil Vicente U19 had 54% of the ball to Lusitania Lourosa U19's 46%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente U19 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Gil Vicente U19 and 0.50 for Lusitania Lourosa U19.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U19 vs Lusitania Lourosa U19?

Gil Vicente U19 4-1 Lusitania Lourosa U19 in the Portugal - Youth U19 on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U19 vs Lusitania Lourosa U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U19 42%, draw 30%, Lusitania Lourosa U19 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente U19), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gil Vicente U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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