Sporting Braga U19 2-1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Youth U19, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.46
Draw
17%
3.11
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
38%
4-5
24%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
37%
+8.5pp
17%
Draw
29%
-12.0pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga U19 The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes U19 The Market 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / +57%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
244 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
12.11.2023 Sporting Braga U19 Sporting Braga U19 2-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 POR19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga U19
2-1
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes U19
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U19 squeezed past Vitoria Guimaraes U19 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Braga U19 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Braga U19 had 52% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes U19's 48%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19?

Sporting Braga U19 2-1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 in the Portugal - Youth U19 on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga U19 46%, draw 17%, Vitoria Guimaraes U19 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga U19) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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