CD Feirense 1-2 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.8
6+ Goals
10%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 27% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.35/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.38
+18% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
255 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.1 Crosses 17.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Feirense
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Benfica II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.91 xG 2.09
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
289 Passes 389
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 2-3 HT 1-3 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
13.05.2023 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-2 HT 1-2 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
08.01.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 3-6 HT 3-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
07.05.2022 Benfica II Benfica II 1-2 HT 1-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
28.12.2021 CD Feirense CD Feirense 2-1 HT 1-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
11.04.2021 Benfica II Benfica II 2-0 HT 2-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Feirense
1-2
AWAY Benfica II
1.59 xG 2.68
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
229 Passes 245
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Feirense vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II edged past CD Feirense 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Benfica II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, CD Feirense had 48% of the ball to Benfica II's 52%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.59 to 2.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Feirense had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for CD Feirense and 1.83 for Benfica II.

What was the final score of CD Feirense vs Benfica II?

CD Feirense 1-2 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Feirense vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Feirense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CD Feirense 38%, draw 25%, Benfica II 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Feirense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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