Uniao De Leiria vs Mafra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uniao De Leiria v Mafra — Team-Based Signals
Uniao De Leiria vs Mafra Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Uniao De Leiria
POR2
Uniao De Leiria 2-3 Mafra — Actual Match Statistics
Mafra nicked a narrow win over Uniao De Leiria 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Uniao De Leiria at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Uniao De Leiria had 51% of the ball to Mafra's 49%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.79 to 2.24.
What was the final score of Uniao De Leiria vs Mafra?
Uniao De Leiria 2-3 Mafra in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uniao De Leiria vs Mafra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 44%, draw 27%, Mafra 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.