Maribor 3-0 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.9
6+ Goals
14%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-12.9pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.4pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
2.33/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.62
+23% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Domzale
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Domzale Domzale 1-2 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
26.08.2023 Maribor Maribor 1-1 HT 1-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
22.04.2023 Maribor Maribor 1-0 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
23.02.2023 Domzale Domzale 1-1 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
22.10.2022 Maribor Maribor 0-3 HT 0-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
14.08.2022 Domzale Domzale 3-2 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
3-0
AWAY Domzale
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor ran out comfortable winners over Domzale 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Maribor had 56% of the ball to Domzale's 44%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Maribor and 1.50 for Domzale.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Domzale?

Maribor 3-0 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Maribor 55%, draw 21%, Domzale 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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