Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

Olimpija Ljubljana
1-1 HT 0-1
Celje
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 28% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olimpija Ljubljana v Celje — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 39%
+14% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
1.35/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.10
+12% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Celje
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Celje Celje 0-1 HT 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
27.08.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-4 HT 1-2 Celje Celje SLVN
06.04.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVNK
15.03.2023 Celje Celje 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
01.12.2022 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
10.09.2022 Celje Celje 4-3 HT 0-2 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN

Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Celje — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
1-1
AWAY Celje
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana and Celje couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 64% of the ball to Celje's 36%, shots finished 18-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.33 for Celje.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje?

Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 37%, draw 26%, Celje 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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