Dynamo Kiev 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
73%
-14.2pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.3pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
2.22/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.13
+10% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
514 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Kiev
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 3-2 HT 1-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
13.05.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 2-3 HT 0-2 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
06.11.2022 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-3 HT 0-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
19.11.2021 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-6 HT 1-3 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
03.12.2018 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 2-0 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
25.08.2018 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-1 HT 0-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Kiev
1-0
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Dynamo Kiev vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev nicked a narrow win over Chornomorets Odessa 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dynamo Kiev as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dynamo Kiev had 57% of the ball to Chornomorets Odessa's 43%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Kiev had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Dynamo Kiev and 1.33 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Dynamo Kiev vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Dynamo Kiev 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Kiev vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Kiev 58%, draw 23%, Chornomorets Odessa 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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