Minai 2-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.4pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.8pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minai EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-35% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minai
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
19.08.2023 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-0 HT 0-0 Minai Minai UKR
29.04.2023 Minai Minai 1-1 HT 0-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
19.10.2022 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0-1 HT 0-0 Minai Minai UKR
03.10.2021 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-0 HT 0-0 Minai Minai UKR
POST-MATCH Minai vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minai saw off Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Minai found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Minai and 0.75 for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.

What was the final score of Minai vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Minai 2-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minai vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Minai 37%, draw 24%, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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