Monagas 3-2 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

Monagas
3-2 HT 1-1
Estudiantes De Merida
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Monagas vs Estudiantes De Merida Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monagas v Estudiantes De Merida — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
0.83/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.58
-13% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
25.5 Crosses 17.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.8

Monagas vs Estudiantes De Merida Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 0.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
252 Passes 294
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
19.03.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
02.07.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
21.05.2022 Monagas Monagas 2-2 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
29.11.2021 Monagas Monagas 4-1 HT 3-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
07.11.2021 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-2 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN

Monagas 3-2 Estudiantes De Merida — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
3-2
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
2.74 xG 1.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
212 Passes 244
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 11
6 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas squeezed past Estudiantes De Merida 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Monagas found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monagas had 47% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 53%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.74 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monagas had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Monagas and 1.33 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Monagas 3-2 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Monagas 39%, draw 30%, Estudiantes De Merida 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monagas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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