UCV 2-2 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

UCV
2-2 HT 0-2
Zamora
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

UCV vs Zamora Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UCV v Zamora — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.59/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.22
-9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 68%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
19.9 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

UCV vs Zamora Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Zamora
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 0.65
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
214 Passes 356
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.07.2023 UCV UCV 5-0 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
01.05.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
02.09.2022 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
18.03.2022 Zamora Zamora 2-0 HT 2-0 UCV UCV VEN

UCV 2-2 Zamora — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
2-2
AWAY Zamora
1.31 xG 1.20
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 0
264 Passes 141
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH UCV vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV and Zamora couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was UCV at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UCV had 62% of the ball to Zamora's 38%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.31 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zamora led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UCV and 1.00 for Zamora.

What was the final score of UCV vs Zamora?

UCV 2-2 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split UCV 44%, draw 29%, Zamora 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UCV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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