Slovan Liberec 1-1 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 2 Mar 2025

Slovan Liberec
1-1 HT 1-0
Dukla Prag
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Czech Republic - Czech Liga – 2024/2025

Slovan Liberec vs Dukla Prag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.11
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Slovan Liberec v Dukla Prag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.57/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.92
+9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
21.4 Crosses 20.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Slovan Liberec vs Dukla Prag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Liberec
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dukla Prag
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
310 Passes 224
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
42 Box Touches 37
30 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-4 HT 1-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
22.02.2019 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
16.09.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-0 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
14.04.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-0 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
14.10.2017 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 3-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
16.04.2017 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 3-1 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK

Slovan Liberec 1-1 Dukla Prag — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Liberec
1-1
AWAY Dukla Prag
1.60 xG 0.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
330 Passes 203
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slovan Liberec vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Liberec and Dukla Prag couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Slovan Liberec carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Slovan Liberec had 59% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 41%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.60 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Liberec had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Slovan Liberec and 1.00 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of Slovan Liberec vs Dukla Prag?

Slovan Liberec 1-1 Dukla Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Liberec vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovan Liberec win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Slovan Liberec 58%, draw 24%, Dukla Prag 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Slovan Liberec), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slovan Liberec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
2 Mar 2025
17:30 Karvina vs Slovacko Analysis →
17:30 Mlada Boleslav vs Viktoria Plzen Analysis →
20:30 Slavia Prag vs Bohemians 1905 Analysis →