Dukla Prag 1-4 Slovan Liberec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.64
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.32
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 52%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -24%
0.94/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.38
-28% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
251 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
17.0 Crosses 23.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Prag
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Slovan Liberec
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
22.02.2019 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
16.09.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-0 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
14.04.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-0 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
14.10.2017 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 3-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
16.04.2017 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 3-1 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
15.10.2016 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-0 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Prag
1-4
AWAY Slovan Liberec
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 10
224 Passes 310
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 42
23 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dukla Prag vs Slovan Liberec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Liberec cruised past Dukla Prag 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slovan Liberec as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dukla Prag had 45% of the ball to Slovan Liberec's 55%, shots finished 18-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Liberec led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dukla Prag and 1.33 for Slovan Liberec.

What was the final score of Dukla Prag vs Slovan Liberec?

Dukla Prag 1-4 Slovan Liberec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Prag vs Slovan Liberec?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slovan Liberec win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dukla Prag 32%, draw 25%, Slovan Liberec 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovan Liberec), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slovan Liberec) ✓ Over 2.5
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