Slovacko 2-1 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.91
6+ Goals
8%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovacko EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
0.76/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.15
-38% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
231 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 69%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
28.5 Crosses 13.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovacko
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Karvina
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.16 xG 0.95
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
333 Passes 155
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
31 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Karvina Karvina 1-3 HT 1-1 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
23.09.2023 Slovacko Slovacko 2-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
09.04.2022 Slovacko Slovacko 3-1 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
12.11.2021 Slovacko Slovacko 3-1 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEKK
07.11.2021 Karvina Karvina 2-2 HT 1-1 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
09.05.2021 Karvina Karvina 0-2 HT 0-1 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovacko
2-1
AWAY Karvina
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
144 Passes 393
60% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Slovacko vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovacko nicked a narrow win over Karvina 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Slovacko as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Slovacko had 34% of the ball to Karvina's 66%, shots finished 7-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovacko had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Slovacko and 0.83 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Slovacko vs Karvina?

Slovacko 2-1 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovacko vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovacko win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Slovacko 43%, draw 27%, Karvina 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovacko) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slovacko) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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