Karvina 1-3 Slovacko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovacko EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.24/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.17
+8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
Crosses 5.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Slovacko
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Slovacko Slovacko 2-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
09.04.2022 Slovacko Slovacko 3-1 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
12.11.2021 Slovacko Slovacko 3-1 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEKK
07.11.2021 Karvina Karvina 2-2 HT 1-1 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
09.05.2021 Karvina Karvina 0-2 HT 0-1 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
16.01.2021 Slovacko Slovacko 2-0 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
1-3
AWAY Slovacko
0.95 xG 2.16
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
155 Passes 333
63% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Karvina vs Slovacko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovacko beat Karvina 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Slovacko as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Karvina had 37% of the ball to Slovacko's 63%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 0.95 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovacko led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Karvina and 2.33 for Slovacko.

What was the final score of Karvina vs Slovacko?

Karvina 1-3 Slovacko in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs Slovacko?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slovacko win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Karvina 30%, draw 27%, Slovacko 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovacko) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slovacko) ✗ Under 2.5
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