Jablonec 1-1 Hradec Kralove — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 2 Mar 2024

Jablonec
1-1 HT 1-1
Hradec Kralove
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Czech Republic - Czech Liga – 2023/2024

Jablonec vs Hradec Kralove Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.2
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 26% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jablonec v Hradec Kralove — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.81/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.24
+16% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
41.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
30.0 Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Jablonec vs Hradec Kralove Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hradec Kralove
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-0 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
04.03.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-4 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
11.09.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 3-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
06.03.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
03.10.2021 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-2 HT 1-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
22.06.2019 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 0-1 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec HAZ

Jablonec 1-1 Hradec Kralove — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
1-1
AWAY Hradec Kralove
1.38 xG 0.69
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
168 Passes 298
63% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Hradec Kralove
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec and Hradec Kralove couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jablonec at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jablonec had 40% of the ball to Hradec Kralove's 60%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.38 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Jablonec and 0.83 for Hradec Kralove.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Hradec Kralove?

Jablonec 1-1 Hradec Kralove in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Hradec Kralove?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 48%, draw 26%, Hradec Kralove 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Jablonec), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jablonec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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