Sigma Olomouc 2-2 Bohemians 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.65
6+ Goals
11%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +26%
1.62/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.50
+11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bohemians 1905
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 3-2 HT 1-2 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
27.05.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 0-1 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
09.04.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-2 HT 1-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
15.10.2022 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 1-1 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
05.03.2022 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 0-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
02.10.2021 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 2-0 HT 2-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc
2-2
AWAY Bohemians 1905
1.14 xG 0.84
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
288 Passes 288
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sigma Olomouc and Bohemians 1905 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Sigma Olomouc at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc had 49% of the ball to Bohemians 1905's 51%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.14 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians 1905 led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 1.33 for Bohemians 1905.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905?

Sigma Olomouc 2-2 Bohemians 1905 in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sigma Olomouc win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 41%, draw 28%, Bohemians 1905 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sigma Olomouc) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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