FK Pardubice 2-3 Viktoria Plzen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
52%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.13
6+ Goals
8%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 31% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
52%
Away Win
55%
-3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.3pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 59%
+5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
0.94/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.00
-7% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
Crosses 33.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 6-2 HT 3-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
13.11.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
06.08.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
26.02.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 4-0 HT 2-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
25.09.2021 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
16.05.2021 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 3-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
2-3
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
0.19 xG 3.60
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 13
244 Passes 420
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 42
6 Crosses 48
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Viktoria Plzen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen edged past FK Pardubice 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Viktoria Plzen as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 39% of the ball to Viktoria Plzen's 61%, shots finished 4-25, expected goals 0.19 to 3.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Viktoria Plzen's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Pardubice and 2.33 for Viktoria Plzen.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Viktoria Plzen?

FK Pardubice 2-3 Viktoria Plzen in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Viktoria Plzen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 24%, draw 24%, Viktoria Plzen 52%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
2 Mar 2024
17:00 Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905 Analysis →
17:00 Jablonec vs Hradec Kralove Analysis →
17:00 Karvina vs Slovacko Analysis →
17:00 Mlada Boleslav vs Ceske Budejovice Analysis →