Jablonec 2-0 Hradec Kralove — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.82
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.14
6+ Goals
7%
19.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 31% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.7pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +8%
1.26/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.29
-5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
12.0 Crosses 11.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hradec Kralove
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.38 xG 0.69
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
168 Passes 298
63% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
24.09.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-0 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
04.03.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-4 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
11.09.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 3-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
06.03.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
03.10.2021 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-2 HT 1-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
2-0
AWAY Hradec Kralove
62% Ball Possession 38%
26 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
451 Passes 231
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
44 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Hradec Kralove
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec beat Hradec Kralove 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Jablonec made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Jablonec had 62% of the ball to Hradec Kralove's 38%, shots finished 26-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Jablonec and 1.00 for Hradec Kralove.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Hradec Kralove?

Jablonec 2-0 Hradec Kralove in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Hradec Kralove?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 39%, draw 28%, Hradec Kralove 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
28 Sep 2024
14:30 Dukla Prag vs Slovan Liberec Analysis →
17:00 FK Pardubice vs Teplice Analysis →
17:00 Slovacko vs Karvina Analysis →