Crystal Palace (K) 0-1 Liverpool (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.65
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
56%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
27%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
56%
Away Win
60%
-3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.31/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.78
+46% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
252 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 74%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
13.0 Crosses 28.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Liverpool (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.33 xG 1.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
256 Passes 313
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Crystal Palace (K) Crystal Palace (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace (K)
0-1
AWAY Liverpool (K)
0.51 xG 1.72
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
212 Passes 458
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace (K) vs Liverpool (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool (K) squeezed past Crystal Palace (K) 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Liverpool (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Crystal Palace (K) had 36% of the ball to Liverpool (K)'s 64%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.51 to 1.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Liverpool (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace (K) vs Liverpool (K)?

Crystal Palace (K) 0-1 Liverpool (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace (K) vs Liverpool (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace (K) 18%, draw 26%, Liverpool (K) 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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