Arsenal (K) 4-3 West Ham United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.16
Draw
23%
7.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-19.9pp
23%
Draw
10%
+12.9pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+6.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.2pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.66/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.04
+43% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +1%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
475 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 75%
49.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
24.1 Crosses 15.2
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal (K)
4W-0D-1L
AWAY West Ham United (K)
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
2.40 xG 0.81
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
471 Passes 220
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
48 Box Touches 6
24 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
04.02.2024 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
08.09.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) İNKPL
06.01.2019 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) 2-4 HT 2-2 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
23.09.2018 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 4-3 HT 2-2 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
4-3
AWAY West Ham United (K)
3.88 xG 2.28
72% Ball Possession 28%
24 Total Shots 11
13 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 3
509 Passes 145
85% Pass Accuracy 63%
50 Box Touches 15
32 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs West Ham United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) nicked a narrow win over West Ham United (K) 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 72% of the ball to West Ham United (K)'s 28%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 3.88 to 2.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Arsenal (K)'s control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Arsenal (K) and 1.60 for West Ham United (K).

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs West Ham United (K)?

Arsenal (K) 4-3 West Ham United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs West Ham United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 63%, draw 23%, West Ham United (K) 14%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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