West Ham United (K) 0-2 Arsenal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
12.23
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
63%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
46%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
5%
+15.6pp
17%
Draw
10%
+6.0pp
63%
Away Win
84%
-21.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.8pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.07/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.56
+80% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -31%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 85%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 52.9
8.4 Crosses 29.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United (K)
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Arsenal (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
0.89 xG 2.61
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
216 Passes 450
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
4 Box Touches 55
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
08.09.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) İNKPL
06.01.2019 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) 2-4 HT 2-2 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
23.09.2018 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 4-3 HT 2-2 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United (K)
0-2
AWAY Arsenal (K)
0.48 xG 1.59
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
233 Passes 555
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 40
11 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH West Ham United (K) vs Arsenal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) beat West Ham United (K) 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, West Ham United (K) had 33% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 67%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.48 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for West Ham United (K) and 2.75 for Arsenal (K).

What was the final score of West Ham United (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

West Ham United (K) 0-2 Arsenal (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split West Ham United (K) 21%, draw 17%, Arsenal (K) 63%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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