Chelsea (K) 5-2 Tottenham Hotspur (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.22
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
77%
-12.3pp
22%
Draw
14%
+7.1pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.0pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham Hotspur (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.39/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.32
+19% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +11%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
40.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
29.0 Crosses 8.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Tottenham Hotspur (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.73 xG 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
438 Passes 279
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
50 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
15.05.2024 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
08.09.2019 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea (K)
5-2
AWAY Tottenham Hotspur (K)
2.14 xG 0.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
387 Passes 339
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
43 Box Touches 11
32 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelsea (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) swept aside Tottenham Hotspur (K) 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea (K) had 53% of the ball to Tottenham Hotspur (K)'s 47%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.14 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chelsea (K) and 0.00 for Tottenham Hotspur (K).

What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K)?

Chelsea (K) 5-2 Tottenham Hotspur (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 65%, draw 22%, Tottenham Hotspur (K) 14%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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