Albacete 3-0 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
4.38
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.38 — our 26% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.86
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.85
X/1
16%
5.53
X/2
13%
5.86
X/X
16%
3.8
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
14%
4.22
2/X
5%
12.95
Value flag · 1/X at 12.85 — our 11% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.48/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.36
-1% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
21.6 Crosses 20.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cadiz
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.81 xG 1.48
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
358 Passes 237
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Cadiz Cadiz 1-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
16.12.2021 Albacete Albacete 0-1 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İSPK
20.07.2020 Cadiz Cadiz 0-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
25.10.2019 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
02.03.2019 Cadiz Cadiz 1-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
17.09.2018 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
3-0
AWAY Cadiz
2.49 xG 0.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
304 Passes 320
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete ran out comfortable winners over Cadiz 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Albacete made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Albacete had 49% of the ball to Cadiz's 51%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 2.49 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cadiz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Albacete and 0.67 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Cadiz?

Albacete 3-0 Cadiz in the Spain - 2nd Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Albacete 36%, draw 31%, Cadiz 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albacete) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Albacete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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