Real Oviedo 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2025

Real Oviedo
1-2 HT 1-1
Deportivo La Coruna
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Real Oviedo vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.47
6+ Goals
8%
23.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.47 — our 37% vs market 33.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.59
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
17%
4.3
X/2
11%
8.21
X/X
12%
4.01
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
11%
7.0
2/X
9%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.5pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Oviedo v Deportivo La Coruna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.29/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.48
+4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
23.5 Crosses 12.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Real Oviedo vs Deportivo La Coruna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.10 xG 1.36
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
316 Passes 375
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
17.06.2020 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-2 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
18.08.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 3-2 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
31.03.2019 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
10.11.2018 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4-0 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
11.08.2018 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo HAZ

Real Oviedo 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
1-2
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
0.52 xG 0.64
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
310 Passes 432
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna squeezed past Real Oviedo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Real Oviedo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 43% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 57%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.52 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Oviedo and 1.83 for Deportivo La Coruna.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Real Oviedo 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 45%, draw 27%, Deportivo La Coruna 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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