Intercity Alicante 2-2 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 32% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.21/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.30
+5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Intercity Alicante
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Madrid II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 5-0 HT 2-0 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
18.05.2024 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
16.12.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 3-3 HT 3-0 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Intercity Alicante
2-2
AWAY Real Madrid II
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Intercity Alicante vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Intercity Alicante and Real Madrid II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Intercity Alicante had 46% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 54%, shots finished 5-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Madrid II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Intercity Alicante and 3.00 for Real Madrid II.

What was the final score of Intercity Alicante vs Real Madrid II?

Intercity Alicante 2-2 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Intercity Alicante vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Intercity Alicante 34%, draw 30%, Real Madrid II 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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