Real Sociedad II 1-2 Athletic Bilbao II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
4.38
6+ Goals
9%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.12/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.46
+6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.2 Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
26.02.2023 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 0-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
24.09.2022 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
21.03.2021 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
19.12.2020 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 1-2 HT 1-2 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
21.12.2019 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 0-2 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad II
1-2
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad II vs Athletic Bilbao II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II squeezed past Real Sociedad II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Athletic Bilbao II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Real Sociedad II had 40% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 60%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Sociedad II and 1.33 for Athletic Bilbao II.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad II vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Real Sociedad II 1-2 Athletic Bilbao II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad II vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad II 33%, draw 26%, Athletic Bilbao II 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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