Monza U20 3-4 Genoa U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza U20 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 45%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.77/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.96
+86% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza U20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Genoa U20
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.01.2025 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 1-4 HT 0-4 Monza U20 Monza U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza U20
3-4
AWAY Genoa U20
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monza U20 vs Genoa U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa U20 nicked a narrow win over Monza U20 4-3 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Genoa U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Monza U20 had 48% of the ball to Genoa U20's 52%, shots finished 12-16.

What was the final score of Monza U20 vs Genoa U20?

Monza U20 3-4 Genoa U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza U20 vs Genoa U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monza U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Monza U20 38%, draw 28%, Genoa U20 34%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monza U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monza U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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