Genoa U20 1-4 Monza U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.0pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.0pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza U20 EU Bookmakers 24%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
0.49/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.99
-76% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa U20
1-4
AWAY Monza U20
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 14
12 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Genoa U20 vs Monza U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza U20 cruised past Genoa U20 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Genoa U20 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Genoa U20 had 61% of the ball to Monza U20's 39%, shots finished 20-14.

What was the final score of Genoa U20 vs Monza U20?

Genoa U20 1-4 Monza U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa U20 vs Monza U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Genoa U20 50%, draw 28%, Monza U20 22%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genoa U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genoa U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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