Fiorentina U20 4-4 Empoli U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 4 Jan 2025

Fiorentina U20
4-4 HT 1-2
Empoli U20
📅04/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Primavera Championship – 2024/2025

Fiorentina U20 vs Empoli U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
50%
+7.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fiorentina U20 v Empoli U20 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli U20 EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.18/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.34
+17% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5

Fiorentina U20 4-4 Empoli U20 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina U20
4-4
AWAY Empoli U20
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Empoli U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 and Empoli U20 couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Fiorentina U20 carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fiorentina U20 had 52% of the ball to Empoli U20's 48%, shots finished 19-10.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Empoli U20?

Fiorentina U20 4-4 Empoli U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Empoli U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 57%, draw 21%, Empoli U20 22%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fiorentina U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Over 2.5
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