Bologna U20 1-2 Atalanta U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.53
No
55%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
61%
-16.7pp
55%
BTTS No
39%
+16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna U20 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta U20 EU Bookmakers 48%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.00/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-33% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +69%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna U20
1-2
AWAY Atalanta U20
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bologna U20 vs Atalanta U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta U20 nicked a narrow win over Bologna U20 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atalanta U20 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bologna U20 had 50% of the ball to Atalanta U20's 50%, shots finished 5-19.

What was the final score of Bologna U20 vs Atalanta U20?

Bologna U20 1-2 Atalanta U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna U20 vs Atalanta U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bologna U20 34%, draw 23%, Atalanta U20 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta U20) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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