Sassuolo (K) 3-1 Napoli (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.83/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.61
+24% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
21.2 Crosses 10.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Napoli (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.87 xG 0.27
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
328 Passes 145
73% Pass Accuracy 53%
26 Box Touches 9
28 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
20.09.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
03.02.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
3-1
AWAY Napoli (K)
1.95 xG 0.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
210 Passes 196
67% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Napoli (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo (K) beat Napoli (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sassuolo (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 50% of the ball to Napoli (K)'s 50%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.95 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sassuolo (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sassuolo (K) and 0.67 for Napoli (K).

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 3-1 Napoli (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 50%, draw 24%, Napoli (K) 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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