Eibar (K) 1-8 Barcelona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
12.23
Draw
33%
8.78
Away
33%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
5%
+28.7pp
33%
Draw
8%
+25.8pp
33%
Away Win
88%
-54.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 94%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.38/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.34/0.41
-33% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +106%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
10.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 50.2
10.6 Crosses 28.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Barcelona (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.07 xG 4.28
18% Ball Possession 82%
3 Total Shots 29
1 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 9
110 Passes 778
56% Pass Accuracy 90%
2 Box Touches 52
2 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.11.2024 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 4-0 HT 3-0 Eibar (K) Eibar (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
14.05.2024 Eibar (K) Eibar (K) 0-4 HT 0-3 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar (K)
1-8
AWAY Barcelona (K)
0.93 xG 6.37
21% Ball Possession 79%
1 Total Shots 37
1 Shots on Target 14
2 Corners 10
88 Passes 571
51% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 60
8 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eibar (K) vs Barcelona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) cruised past Eibar (K) 8-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Barcelona (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Eibar (K) had 21% of the ball to Barcelona (K)'s 79%, shots finished 1-37, expected goals 0.93 to 6.37.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barcelona (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Eibar (K) and 4.00 for Barcelona (K).

What was the final score of Eibar (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Eibar (K) 1-8 Barcelona (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Eibar (K) 33%, draw 33%, Barcelona (K) 33%. The final score 1-8 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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